Real Zaragoza vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
RCF
1 - 1
ZAR
36%
29%
34%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ZAR
3 - 0
UPL
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
UES
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
ZAR
4 - 0
VAL
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
XER
1 - 0
ZAR
23%
31%
47%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
HER
1 - 1
PON
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
HER
5 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
HER
0 - 1
OVI
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |