Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Real Zaragoza vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LIE
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
OVI
3 - 3
ZAR
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
ZAR
6 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
HER
0 - 1
ZAR
38%
25%
38%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
HER
4 - 0
VAD
50%
22%
27%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAD
3 - 2
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |