Real Zaragoza vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
6 - 3
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
JFC
4 - 2
HER
41%
23%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
55%
21%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |