Real Zaragoza vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 1
ZAR
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1940 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
44%
22%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 2
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 3
HER
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HER
4 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |