Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 6-5
Real Zaragoza vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.4%
8.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SEV
82%
11%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ELC
3 - 1
ZAR
36%
25%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
3 - 3
ZAR
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
0 - 0
STJ
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
3 - 3
ZAR
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
HAM
0 - 1
HOM
23%
22%
56%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1966 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
HIB
2 - 3
HOM
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |