Europa League 1/16
Global 6-2
Real Zaragoza vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
ESP
2 - 1
ZAR
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UDL
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZAR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ATM
4 - 0
ZAR
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SLA
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZAR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1974 |
PAN
2 - 1
GCZ
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
GCZ
2 - 0
PAN
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
TOT
4 - 1
GCZ
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
GCZ
1 - 5
TOT
24%
25%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |