Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-0
Real Zaragoza vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
4.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5%
2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SLA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
MAL
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 4
RMA
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OLI
94%
4%
2%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
GIM
2 - 0
ATB
72%
21%
7%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
IBI
2 - 1
GIM
38%
33%
29%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAB
66%
24%
11%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
VIL
0 - 0
GIM
49%
29%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GIM
3 - 0
GIR
66%
23%
11%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |