Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Real Zaragoza vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
ZAR
0 - 1
RMA
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
RSO
1 - 1
ZAR
49%
28%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
FRE
0 - 1
ZAR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
ZAR
3 - 2
OSA
54%
27%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SEV
1 - 0
ZAR
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
FRE
1 - 2
AGF
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
LYN
2 - 1
FRE
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
FRE
0 - 1
ZAR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
FRE
2 - 2
BIF
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
FCK
5 - 1
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |