Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
CAD
3 - 1
ZAR
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 3
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
ZAR
5 - 2
CAD
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
CEL
5 - 3
ZAR
41%
29%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
HER
3 - 3
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
ESP
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 1
CEL
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 2
VAD
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |