Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZAR
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
UDL
4 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
ZAR
1 - 2
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
MAL
0 - 0
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
ESP
2 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |