Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
ZAR
52%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
4 - 2
RAC
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
ZAR
52%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ALA
2 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BET
3 - 3
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |