Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
CAT
0 - 1
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1951 |
ZAR
3 - 2
MUR
67%
16%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1951 |
MAL
4 - 2
ZAR
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
ZAR
5 - 0
SLA
75%
13%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
UDL
2 - 0
ZAR
56%
19%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ESP
1 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
ESP
84%
9%
7%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
4 - 2
ATH
53%
19%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
RSO
3 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 0
FCB
46%
22%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |