Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1942 |
ZAR
4 - 2
OSA
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ZAR
0 - 0
OSA
65%
18%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SAB
3 - 3
ZAR
47%
23%
31%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 2
ESP
28%
22%
50%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAB
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ESP
8 - 0
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |