Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
34%
22%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 0
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
ESP
49%
20%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |