Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Real Zaragoza vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
ZAR
0 - 0
UDL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
VCF
3 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ZAR
2 - 0
OVI
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
DUN
2 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ELC
3 - 1
ZAR
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
DUN
4 - 4
STJ
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
DUN
3 - 3
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
DUN
2 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
CEL
0 - 2
DUN
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |