Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-2
Real Zaragoza vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ZAR
6 - 2
VAD
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
SFE
1 - 0
VAL
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PUL
0 - 1
SFE
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SFE
0 - 0
CDT
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 0
SFE
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |