Real Zaragoza vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RCF
0 - 2
ZAR
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 2
JFC
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 2
VCF
32%
22%
45%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
MUR
4 - 1
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CON
0 - 2
RSO
43%
22%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ALC
3 - 1
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCB
4 - 1
CON
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CON
0 - 0
FCB
25%
21%
55%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
DEP
4 - 0
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |