Real Zaragoza vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
OSA
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 1
BET
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VAD
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
HER
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
CON
3 - 1
OSA
66%
18%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BET
4 - 1
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1944 |
CON
2 - 0
JFC
57%
20%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 0
CON
47%
22%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |