Real Zaragoza vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
REC
2 - 0
ZAR
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
ZAR
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 2
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
0 - 0
CCF
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
TER
2 - 2
CEL
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
3 - 1
PUE
66%
23%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
3 - 0
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 24 | 48 | 0 |