Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Real Zaragoza vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
EUR
0 - 1
ZAR
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
ZAR
1 - 0
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
ELC
5 - 1
ZAR
36%
26%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SAB
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
ATM
0 - 0
ZAR
63%
20%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
EUR
0 - 1
ZAR
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
LEV
1 - 1
EUR
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
EUR
1 - 0
CAD
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
CEU
2 - 0
EUR
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
MAL
4 - 0
EUR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |