Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
Real Zaragoza vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
RAY
0 - 0
ZAR
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OVI
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
CAE
3 - 2
ZAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
CAD
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
31%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1992 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAE
42%
29%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1992 |
CAE
4 - 1
TFC
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
CAE
3 - 2
ZAR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1992 |
MET
1 - 0
CAE
51%
27%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
CAE
3 - 2
LYO
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |