Real Zaragoza vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
UDL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SEV
4 - 1
ZAR
50%
27%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
SEV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
HER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BUR
1 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |