Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Real Zaragoza vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ZAR
3 - 1
VCF
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SAB
1 - 0
ZAR
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BOT
3 - 1
ZAR
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ATH
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BOT
3 - 1
ZAR
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1968 |
BOT
4 - 2
CHB
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1968 |
SPS
2 - 2
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
BOT
2 - 2
CSK
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
SSO
2 - 1
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |