Real Zaragoza vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 1
ZAR
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ZAR
4 - 4
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ATH
4 - 0
ZAR
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 0
RAC
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FCB
4 - 1
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCB
3 - 0
MAL
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |