Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Final
Global 3-4
Real Zaragoza vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
GRA
6 - 2
ZAR
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
66%
18%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ESP
84%
10%
5%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1966 |
SKE
3 - 2
ZAR
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATH
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
FCB
4 - 1
CCF
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1966 |
FCB
5 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
ZAR
1 - 0
FCB
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 2
ZAR
65%
18%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |