Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-2
Real Zaragoza vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 2
ZAR
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
RSO
2 - 0
ZAR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ZAR
0 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
SEV
4 - 2
ZAR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAU
1 - 0
BAR
31%
32%
37%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
BAR
0 - 2
ZAR
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 2
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
SSC
2 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 0
SIE
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |