Real Zaragoza vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CON
5 - 1
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
0 - 5
FCB
36%
22%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RCF
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
JFC
2 - 2
ZAR
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
FCB
5 - 1
ZAR
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 3
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1945 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
BAR
4 - 2
MLL
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
MUR
42%
22%
36%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |