Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-0
Real Zaragoza vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
34%
22%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
4 - 2
ARE
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUN
60%
19%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SSC
1 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |