Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Real Zaragoza vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ZAR
3 - 1
OSA
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
BAR
5 - 1
MON
89%
8%
4%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
MON
0 - 2
BAR
19%
21%
60%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
3 - 2
SPO
50%
20%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |