Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
OSA
1 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RSO
64%
20%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
GET
0 - 1
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
ALB
0 - 1
ATM
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
LEG
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |