Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
CEL
2 - 1
ZAR
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ESP
43%
24%
32%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
VAD
1 - 3
ZAR
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATH
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
SPO
4 - 1
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
UDL
3 - 0
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEL
80%
11%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATM
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ATM
7 - 0
VAD
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ATH
1 - 2
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |