Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
VAD
4 - 1
ZAR
74%
15%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ZAR
0 - 2
OSA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SEV
3 - 0
ZAR
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
CDC
0 - 0
ZAR
52%
22%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
51%
21%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ATM
3 - 0
RSO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
FCB
7 - 3
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |