Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CEL
57%
20%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
ZAR
2 - 2
BAR
72%
15%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ZAR
3 - 1
OSA
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ATM
0 - 0
BET
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 3
ATM
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1939 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SPO
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
5 - 1
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |