Real Zaragoza vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
UDL
0 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SLA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 1
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATH
31%
29%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ATH
5 - 3
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |