Real Zaragoza vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ZAR
1 - 2
FCB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ATH
1 - 0
UDL
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
FCB
0 - 1
ATH
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
MAL
3 - 3
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
ATH
3 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |