Real Zaragoza vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
ZAR
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ESP
31%
22%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZAR
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CEL
43%
23%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1942 |
CAS
3 - 0
ZAR
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ATH
0 - 2
DEP
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 3
ATH
50%
22%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
GRA
1 - 3
ATH
36%
23%
40%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ATH
5 - 0
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |