Real Zaragoza vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
BET
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
45%
20%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 2
RAC
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 4
SEV
80%
11%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |