Real Zaragoza vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
MLL
3 - 1
ZAR
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
ZAR
0 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
RAC
6 - 0
ZAR
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 0
CUL
77%
14%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 1
ZAR
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
ALC
2 - 1
RSO
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 3
ALC
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
MLL
3 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
ALC
2 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |