Real Zaragoza vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ZAR
2 - 1
PON
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MLL
2 - 4
ZAR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 2
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RMC
1 - 2
ZAR
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 3
FCB
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 3
ALA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |