Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Zaragoza vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALA
2 - 3
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
87%
8%
4%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OVI
32%
21%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ESP
0 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATM
28%
22%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALA
2 - 3
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ALA
1 - 0
SAB
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
RSO
5 - 1
ALA
81%
11%
8%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ALA
1 - 2
OSA
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
TER
3 - 0
ALA
44%
22%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |