Real Zaragoza vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
CON
5 - 1
ZAR
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
29%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 4
LEV
66%
18%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
LEV
5 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
26%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
FER
2 - 3
ALA
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
MAL
6 - 0
FER
70%
15%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
FER
1 - 4
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
4 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |