Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Real Zaragoza vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
ZAR
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MLL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
SEV
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ELC
6 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
CEL
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALC
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIR
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |