Zaragoza U19 vs Mercantil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
4º
4º
1
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 70 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 68 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 42 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 31 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 31 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 26 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
40.5% | 1.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFB
3 - 0
ZAR
48%
24%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 0
GIR
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RCZ
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 2
ZAR
21%
24%
54%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 5
UDC
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
CEM
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 1
CEM
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 1
CFB
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |