Zaragoza U19 vs Mercantil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
7º
5º
20
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
24% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
67.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFB
3 - 0
ZAR
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 0
GIR
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RCZ
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 2
ZAR
21%
24%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 5
UDC
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
CEM
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 0
ZAR
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 1
CEM
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEM
2 - 1
CFB
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |