Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-17
Real Zaragoza CD vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
FCB
8 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
FCB
8 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1922 |
FCB
5 - 1
RUN
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 2
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1922 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 1
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |