Real Zaragoza CD vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RUN
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
ZAR
5 - 1
LEV
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
ZAR
0 - 7
FCB
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
ATH
4 - 1
RAC
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
RUN
4 - 2
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |