Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
Deportivo Aragón vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ZAR
0 - 1
TUD
48%
27%
25%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
COL
3 - 0
ZAR
67%
21%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
HUE
2 - 1
ZAR
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ZAR
1 - 2
OSA
28%
28%
43%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
VAD
2 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOG
44%
29%
27%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
CDT
3 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |