Deportivo Aragón vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 5
ZAR
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CLH
0 - 0
ZAR
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ZAR
4 - 1
CLH
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +4 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
EPI
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CFA
1 - 3
ZAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
REU
32%
27%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
VAL
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALB
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |