Deportivo Aragón vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
ZAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
UES
30%
28%
43%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GAN
4 - 6
ZAR
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BAD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MNC
3 - 1
ZAR
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
BAD
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MLL
4 - 3
VAL
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 3
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATB
3 - 2
VAL
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
ONT
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |