Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Deportivo Aragón vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
REU
2 - 3
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 3
LLE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 3
BAD
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MLL
0 - 1
ZAR
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GET
0 - 4
UBC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UBC
1 - 1
COX
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
UBC
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
UBC
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UBC
2 - 0
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |