Deportivo Aragón vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ALC
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UDC
1 - 1
ZAR
28%
27%
44%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TAL
3 - 0
ZAR
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 0
RMC
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
RMC
35%
28%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAJ
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |